Greek default could have worldwide ripple effect
Tuesday, March 16, 2010
- By John March
The world financial community is considered likely to take at least some action in the coming weeks to bail out the Greece economy because of the impact a default could end up having.
Greece has been dealing with a financial crisis brought on by a deficit larger than its official had previously acknowledged, and which has undermined economic confidence throughout the European Union. A handful of other EU states have also been experiencing serious debt problems, which has invited speculation about the state of financial affairs in the United States, especially in regard to the deficit.
For example, an article from U.S. News and World Report notes if Greece were to default on its debt, it would likely reduce American exports because the dollar would be expected to rise against the Euro in the event of such a scenario. A stronger dollar would be likely to result in more expensive U.S. exports, damaging the economy in the process.
The news magazine also quoted one financial expert as warning that the higher interest rates brought on by a Greek default would potentially bring back the financial crisis and make any lingering economic difficulties worse. A Greek default could potentially make lending and borrowing around the world more expensive.
Also, the article added that even if Greece does benefit from a bailout by its neighbors, it won’t necessarily stop the economic problem because there is no guarantee that wealthy Greeks will stop withdrawing their money from the country’s banks and will otherwise stay committed to its financial system.
In the United States, concerns about the debt are more long-term in nature but they remain a very real concern in light of a federal deficit that will come in at $1.6 trillion this year on the way to exceeding $14 trillion.
Looking ahead, it already costs the U.S. government hundreds of billions of dollars just to make interest payments on the national debt each year, which invites speculation among financiers about how long this situation will be sustainable.
While government officials downplay the idea that the U.S. debt will eventually become unmanageable or subject to default, the threat is substantial in the longer term and could be one reason for investors to talk to some silver and gold dealers about what their options may be.
John March is the Chief Technical Officer for the Superior Gold Group, his financial insights on precious metals are sought after by Gold & Silver Dealers globally.
If you have any questions about how to buy gold coins, and want to learn how to grow your portfolio call 888.374.4032 or write to askjohn@gold101.com.